[Free pdf] Baseball Prospectus 2014 Author Baseball Prospectus – Vansonphu.com
Either this holds no interest for you, in which case I bid you a good day, or you re intrigued by it, which means it may already be too late for you to lead a normal life Anyway, I enjoyed my annual preseason baseball geek fix. I enjoyed this version of the prospectus as the team reports had by lines, sopersonality could show up in these I also appreciate how many most all of these authors seem to understand that the extra measurements of which I am a huge fan are another way to look at the game, not the only way I still think this should be picked up and read by any baseball fan. I really enjoy this volume s arrival each year It is filled with sabermetric analysis Statistics beyond ERA, batting average, slugging percentage, etc add a deeper dimension to sensing how well a player did Also enjoyable is PECOTA, a system to project a player s performance in the upcoming season in this case 2014.Normally, I immediately go to see how my favored team, the Chicago White Sox, is represented here Last year was not a good year, as the statistics show 1st in unearned runs all I really enjoy this volume s arrival each year It is filled with sabermetric analysis Statistics beyond ERA, batting average, slugging percentage, etc add a deeper dimension to sensing how well a player did Also enjoyable is PECOTA, a system to project a player s performance in the upcoming season in this case 2014.Normally, I immediately go to see how my favored team, the Chicago White Sox, is represented here Last year was not a good year, as the statistics show 1st in unearned runs allowed, 1 is fewest runs scored and their talent cupboard major and minor league and their finances and management rate 29th in baseball Not auspicious for the coming season.The player by player analyses are always interesting, and I especially like the projections For instance, Adam Dunn A hitter with a lot of power let s forget a dreadful 2011 and a low average the last three years.159,.204,.219 2014 A.214 batting average and 28 home runs Not sure the home runs counter the miserable projected batting average There is a 0% chance he will improve his performance dramatically, a 22% chance of improvement, only a 7% chance of a collapse major decline , and a 17% chance of attrition having performance decline but not dramatically Paul Konerko has had a career that is worthy of appreciation However, he has been slowing down Last year a.244 batting average, just 12 home runes, and just 54 RBIs A career in decline This will be his final year Projections 19 homers, 68 RBIs, and a.269 batting average a mild comeback from last year We shall see what actually happens.Pitching The projection is for Chris Sale, a terrific pitcher by a variety of statistics, to have some problems winning He is projected at 11 7 last year, he had as fine year by most metrics, but was only 11 14 in wins and losses, due to a lack of support He is projected to have a 2.70 ERA.And on it goes, team after team.Each year, this book brings me smiles as I look at team after team and wonder how the projections actually play out The crew at BP constantly changes, but the quality of the work they produce remains high I have purchased every edition of this book and plan to do so as long as the work merits it The analysis is generally first rate Over time, they have clearly integrated lessons from scouting and tools and slightly diminished their reliance upon actual results Some top ranked prospects from the past likely would not have been so highly ranked by today s BP and vice versa. Seriously every baseball fan needs to go out and buy these books the day they come out every year. Not crazy about the intolerant sabermetric bores inundating the baseball media today Joe Posnanski, Brian Kenny etc but the Prospectus does provide good value and interesting viewpoints on certain players Analytics without getting too preachy I still like RBI guys, so shoot me. Well, it s not the same So many of the original writers have moved on, it would be hard to maintain the same level of excellence they had back in the day. The bestselling annual baseball preview from the smartest analysts in the business Now in its th edition, the Baseball Prospectus annual shows once again how it became the industry leader Theedition includes key stat categories, controversial player predictions, and the kind of wise, witty baseball commentary that makes this phone book thick tome worth reading cover to cover Baseball Prospectusprovides fantasy players and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which Sports Illustrated has called perhaps the game s most accurate projection model Still, stats are just numbers if you don t see the larger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings together an elite team of analysts to provide the definitive look at all thirty teams their players, their prospects, and their managers to explain away flukes, hot streaks, injury tainted numbers, and park effects Victory, after all, could come down to choosing between the supposed sleeper and the overrated prospects who won t be able to fool people in the Show like they have down on the farm Nearly every major league team has sought the advice of current or former Prospectus writers, and readers of Baseball Prospectuswill understand what all those fans have been raving about If you re a baseball fan and you don t know what BP is, you re working in a mine without one of those helmets with the lights on it Keith Olbermann The first time I saw the PECOTA projections, I realized that someone out there understood Jeff Luhnow, General Manager, Houston Astros For me, every year baseball begins with the big, brilliant, beautiful book you are holding in your hands right now Joe Posnanski Baseball Prospectuscorrectly predicted Disappointing performances by Albert Pujols, Dan Haren, Michael Bourn, Justin Upton, and Tommy Hanson Breakouts by Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Seager, Matt Moore, Shelby Miller, and Jason Kipnis, as well as bounceback seasons from Jayson Werth and Shin Soo Choo That Max Scherzer would be a Cy Young contender and Michael Wacha ace in waiting for the Cardinals That Wil Myers would be a middle of the order bat for Tampa Bay and Josh Donaldson would finally win the Rich Harden trade for the A s That CC Sabathia s velocity drop could be a problem, but Felix Hernandez s would not be That Joaquin Benoit, Kenley Jansen, and Koji Uehara were better bullpen bets than pre season closer picks Bruce Rondon, Brandon League, and Joel Hanrahan I read the annual every year Every year s addition seems like an improvement on the previous year.